Indian Rupee rebounds from two-year low

New Delhi / Bloomberg

India’s foreign-exchange reserves climbed to a record as the rupee heads for its biggest monthly advance in two years.
The currency stockpile rose by $2.54 billion in the week through March 18 to an unprecedented $355.95 billion, a Reserve Bank of India statement showed. That capped a third straight week of increases. The rupee has jumped 2.8 percent in March as India’s government stuck to its fiscal goals in last month’s budget and investor sentiment toward emerging markets improved amid efforts by global central banks to support growth. That’s helped pare the Indian currency’s 2016 drop to 0.6 percent, Asia’s worst performance.
The rise in reserves provides RBI Governor Raghuram Rajan more ammunition to shield the region’s third-largest economy from capital outflows amid the possibility of further interest-rate increases by the Federal Reserve and any risks from the slowdown in China. A gauge of the rupee’s expected price swings has dropped 70 basis points this month and Edelweiss Financial Services Ltd. says a stable currency will aid central bank efforts to control inflation and give it more room to lower borrowing costs.
“With record reserves in hand, the RBI is in a much more comfortable position to counter any bouts of volatility,” said Ankur Jhaveri, co-head of currencies and rates at Edelweiss Financial in Mumbai. The central bank will cut the benchmark repurchase rate by 25 basis points at its April 5 meeting, he said.

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