TUI points to strong bookings for summer amid recovery

BLOOMBERG

TUI AG’s summer bookings are approaching pre-pandemic levels, the latest sign that the travel sector is recovering despite high inflation squeezing household budgets.
The world’s biggest tour operator said booking volumes were at 96% of 2019 levels, led by demand for travel to Spain, Greece and Turkey. Prices are 26% higher than pre-pandemic levels, the company said. The stock declined after TUI kept its outlook unchanged.
“Strong booking development and significantly improved quarterly figures underline our expectations: it will be a strong summer and a good financial year 2023 with a significantly higher operating result,” Chief Executive Officer Sebastian Ebel said in an earnings statement.
TUI fell as much as 4.2% in early trading. The stock has lost about a third of its value this year. Hanover-based TUI received €4.2 billion in state bailouts in 2020 after the Covid-19 crisis punctured a decades-long boom in travel. The company in April made its final repayment of its assistance package after a €1.8-billion capital increase.
Europeans’ thirst for travel is driving TUI’s recovery. While household energy and food bills have surged in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, consumers are still willing to spend on vacations despite the higher cost of accommodation and flights.  In the fiscal second quarter ending on March 31, TUI’s loss narrowed to €242.2 million ($265.52 million) from €329.9 million a year. Analysts had estimated a loss of €228 million. Revenue rose to €3.2 billion from €2.1 billion.
The company said had secured 8.3 million bookings to date for the summer, and that 55% of the programme for the season had been sold, which TUI called “broadly in line” with the same season in 2019. “Outlook commentary is encouraging, with summer ‘23 booking close to pre-pandemic levels and pricing strong,”
Jefferies International analyst James Wheatcroft wrote in a note. Like low-cost airlines, TUI is seeking to increase its market share as higher household bills weigh on consumer spending, pushing people towards package holidays that include flights, accommodation, bus transfers and food and helping them to control the cost of their trip.