Bloomberg
Gunshots and screams rang out as Rosemary Keji fled her village almost two years ago, one of millions of South Sudanese escaping civil war. After finally returning last month, she’s planting potatoes beside her wrecked house in Yei River state and vowing never to leave again.
The 28-year-old mother of two is one of a steady trickle of refugees coming back from neighbouring countries after August’s preliminary deal to end almost a half-decade of conflict. It’s a sign of fresh hope that the latest peace bid will hold and the world’s third-largest refugee crisis after Syria and Afghanistan may have turned a corner.
Refugees have arrived in the “tens of thousands,†said Santino Bol Muoter, deputy chairman of the state-run Relief and Rehabilitation Commission, who’s working with aid agencies to get an accurate count of people. “What we are seeing are the people who are assessing the ground and establishing something before the rest can follow them.â€
Millions Sheltering
Large-scale returns would mark a turnaround for the oil-rich East African nation, which in December 2013 plunged into a conflict that’s claimed tens of thousands of lives and seen both sides accused of atrocities in violence that’s often had an ethnic dimension. By July, almost 2.5 million South Sudanese were sheltering in neighbouring countries including Uganda, Sudan and Ethiopia, straining relief efforts.
Returning remains a big gamble. There’s plenty of lingering mistrust between President Salva Kiir’s government and rebels led by his former deputy, Riek Machar, according to Jacob Dut Chol, a political science lecturer at the University of Juba in the capital. The leaders signed an initial power-sharing deal in early August amid international pressure and other warring parties may feel left out, complicating its success, he said. Kiir and Machar’s engagement “has to be very high with a lot of commitment because if someone comes up to cause a rift between the two leaders we will see a scenario of 2016 at play between them again,†he said by phone, referring to the failure of a previous attempt at peace.
Arbitrary Arrests
Amnesty International is also casting doubt on the country’s safety. In a report released on Tuesday, the London-based group said South Sudanese authorities have arbitrarily arrested and tortured people, causing the deaths of some, even as they made repeated promises to release detainees. Amnesty has previously documented at least 20 deaths in detention between February 2014 and December 2016.
Those caring for the refugees say it may be too early to come back home. While there have been some “spontaneous†returns due to the pact, the country isn’t safe enough to recommend repatriations, said Eujin Byun, a United Nations Refugee Agency in South Sudan spokeswoman.
Byaruhanga Godfrey, an official dealing with refugee issues for the government of Uganda—the largest host with about a million people—said they haven’t been advising returns and those choosing to do so are acting on their own initiative. That’s what Moses Ojok, a 37-year-old farmer from the southern state of Torit, is doing.