US growth revised upward on consumer spending

Bloomberg

The US economy expanded more than previously reported last quarter on a sunnier picture of household spending, the primary growth engine.
Gross domestic product rose at a 3.2 percent annualized rate in the three months ended in September, the fastest in two years, compared with an initial estimate of 2.9 percent, Commerce Department figures showed on Tuesday. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey called for a 3 percent gain.
While business investment remains a weak spot, solid labor-
market progress and steady household purchases kept growth on track ahead of the holiday shopping
season. The figures are likely to
reinforce projections for Federal Reserve policy makers to raise the benchmark interest rate in December for the first time this year,
with inflation getting closer to the central bank’s goal.
“It’s really the household that’s supporting things right now,” Brett Ryan, US economist at Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. in New York, said before the report. “Near-term, we expect growth to continue to chug along around the 1.5 to 2
percent rate.” GDP represents the value of all goods and services produced in the economy. Analysts’ projections for the latest growth figure ranged from 2.8 percent to 3.3 percent. This is the second of three estimates for the quarter before annual revisions in July.
The revised growth figure mainly reflected changes to the pace of consumer spending and residential investment. Household purchases, which account for almost 70 percent of the economy, grew at a 2.8 percent annualized rate, stronger than the 2.1 percent pace initially estimated.

AUTOMOBILE REGISTRATIONS
The adjustment reflected data from the Alcohol and Tobacco
Tax and Trade Bureau, as well as figures on monthly retail sales,
motor vehicle registrations and electricity usage, according to the Commerce Department.
Residential investment was less of a drag, falling at a 4.4 percent pace, after an initial reading of a 6.2 percent drop, reflecting upward revisions to single-family housing and to data on dealers of building materials and garden supplies. The upward revisions to growth were partly offset by a downward adjustment to nonresidential fixed investment, according to the Commerce Department.
Tuesday’s report offered a first
look at corporate profits for last
quarter. Before-tax earnings at companies increased 6.6 percent after declining 0.6 percent in the prior three-month period.
Profits rose 2.8 percent from a year earlier, the first year-over-year gain after five quarters of declines. The gain in profits is a positive sign for business investment, which has been missing for a large part of the seven-year expansion.
Inventories grew at a $17 billion annualized rate from July through September and added to growth for the first time since early 2015.