Stocks slide, dollar holds firm as Fed focus intensifies; crypto soars

TOKYO / WAM

Asian stocks drifted lower while the dollar held firm on Tuesday as investors awaited minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting to gauge the timing and extent of possible interest rate cuts this year, Reuters reported. Gold eased back from all-time peak, while crude oil declined on worries of US interest rates staying high for longer as Fed officials maintained a cautious view on a recent easing of inflation. Cryptocurrencies ether and bitcoin climbed to fresh six-week peaks amid speculation that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) may approve a spot ether exchange-traded fund (ETF).
Markets currently factor in about 41 basis points of Fed rate reductions this year, with a quarter-point cut fully priced in for November.
Traders rushed to rebuild easing bets after data earlier this month showed consumer price pressures mitigated in April, following a string of three months of upside surprises at the start of the year. Even so, Fed officials are reluctant to declare inflation is coming under control, with Vice Chair Philip Jefferson saying that it was too early to tell if the slowdown is “long lasting,” and Vice Chair Michael Barr saying restrictive policy needs more time.
Minutes of the last Fed meeting due on Wednesday could provide valuable insight into the future policy path, although the deliberations predate last week’s softer CPI reading. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.9 percent, weighed down by the Hang Seng’s 1.9 percent pullback from multi-month peak. Japan’s tech-heavy Nikkei tracked overnight gains for the Nasdaq to a record high, before reversing course to trade 0.1 percent lower. Nasdaq futures inched 0.06 percent lower. S&P 500 futures were flat after Monday’s 0.1 percent gain. “Market sentiment remains relatively robust, with implied volatility low, supported by greater confidence in US rate cuts this year,” Kyle Rodda, senior markets analyst at Capital.com, wrote in
a note. At the same time, record highs for metals such as gold and copper “is being pointed to as a signal economic activity is improving globally, and that may be a factor keeping inflation sticky,” Rodda said. Gold eased 0.3 percent to about $2,417 per ounce, after pushing to the cusp of $2,450 for the first time overnight.
The greenback held its ground against major peers, with the dollar index flat at 104.62 after rebounding from a five-week trough of 104.07 reached on Thursday. The 10-year Treasury yield was little changed at 4.4433 percent, after ticking up 1.7 basis points on Monday. Brent crude futures declined 0.7 percent to $83.17 a barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) eased 0.7 percent to $79.22.
Meanwhile, the standout performers of Monday climbed to fresh highs, as traders snapped up cryptocurrencies following a report that the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had abruptly asked exchanges that want to trade ether ETFs to update regulatory filings, boosting bets that approval could come this week. Bitcoin climbed as high as $71,957 and ether jumped to $3,720.80, both hitting levels not seen since April 19.