Bloomberg
Oil optimists pushed bullish wagers to a six-month high as the rally in prices continued.
Money managers raised optimistic wagers on Brent crude for a fifth straight week while closing out pessimistic bets by the most since January as turmoil in major oil-producing nations heightened supply concerns. Short-selling bets on the global benchmark plunged by 18 percent, according to data released.
Hedge fund positioning on US crude told a similar tale, with contracts calling for a decline in West Texas Intermediate falling off by 17 percent.
“There’s not many people who are willing to short this market,†said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. “We could be near a market top, but it’s just too early to tell. Right now, the path of least resistance is higher for oil.â€
Brent advanced 1.7 percent this week, bringing its yearly gain to 33 percent, as fighting in Libya and a coup in Sudan added to uncertainty in a market already tightening because of Opec-led supply cuts. WTI rose for the sixth straight week, the longest run in two years.
The net-long Brent position — the difference between bets on higher prices and wagers on a slide — climbed 2.7 percent to 358,141 futures and options contracts for the week ended April 9, according to London-based ICE Futures Europe. Long positions rose 0.3 percent, reaching their highest point since late October.