Italy’s Berlusconi may be closer to majority than polls show

Bloomberg

Polls may be downplaying the chances that a center-right coalition backed by former Premier Silvio Berlusconi will win a majority in upcoming Italian elections on March 4.
The so-called “shy-factor” in the polling process, which underestimates voting intentions for right-wing parties, and a new electoral law that favors coalitions, may give Berlusconi’s bloc enough seats to form a government, according to Lorenzo Pregliasco, managing director of Agenzia Quorum. That would allow them to beat both the ruling Democratic Party, which is losing support, and the anti-establishment Five Star Movement, which polls as the biggest single party but has so far eschewed alliances.