Bloomberg
UK Prime Minister Theresa May has less than 10 days to come up with a new offer on the Brexit divorce bill if she wants to break the deadlock in negotiations before the end of the year.
European Council President Donald Tusk gave May until December 4 to make extra efforts to resolve the differences between the two sides — most notably on the money and the thorny question of the future of the Irish
border. On that day, May is planning to dine with European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker on December 4, a mee-
ting that now becomes a critical milestone for Brexit.
The deadline, disclosed by an EU official speaking anonymously after a private meeting between Tusk and May, sets the stage for a frantic week-and-a-half of talks
between British and European
negotiators.
Both sides are targeting the December 14-15 European summit as the moment when they want
to be able to declare that suffic-ient progress has been made on the split to allow talks to begin on future trade and the transition business craves.
At a meeting in Brussels, Tusk told May that unless she makes her offer by December 4 there won’t be enough time for European
leaders to agree sufficient progress has been made on the divorce to allow trade talks to be approved at the December summit, the
official said.
Speaking after her private talks with Tusk in Brussels, May said she found a “genuine feeling†that both the EU and the UK want to break the deadlock in Brexit talks.
GENUINE FEELING
“There are still issues across the various matters that we’re negotiating on to be resolved but there’s been a very positive atmosphere in the talks,†May told reporters. “And a genuine feeling that we want to move forward together.â€
For his part, Tusk said that it was possible to reach a breakthrough in December, though it would be a “huge challenge.†An EU official who declined to be named said May had agreed to the timetable set out by Tusk.
May was in Brussels for a summit of European leaders on the theme of the EU’s partnership
with countries on it’s eastern borders. She used the gathering to make her case to her counterparts — including Germany’s Angela Merkel — that it’s time for Brexit talks to advance.
The UK’s biggest fear is that the EU will not agree to allow talks to move on to discuss the future trade relationship and the transition period, even if May makes a new offer on paying the bloc’s unmet bills when Britain leaves.
WHERE’S THE TRUST
Suspicions remain in London that the EU will simply bank any new promise and then demand more, without agreeing to move talks on to the second phase — the future. British officials believe that would be fatal to the negotiations process and want concrete assurances that a new offer on the money will be reciprocated, the person said.
When it comes to trust, a history of damaging leaks on dinners highlight the stakes. Back in May, German newspaper Handelsblatt reported Juncker as saying he left a meal with May at 10 Downing Street “10 times more skeptical†about Brexit. The Brits were not impressed, and May accused the EU of “deliberately†meddling ahead of her election.
Negotiations are currently stuck on two issues: how much the UK will pay towards the cost of EU loans, and European officials’ pensions, and the future arrangements for the country’s land border with Ireland. May won the backing of her senior ministers to improve her offer on the money earlier this week but the Irish question remains.
According to the EU official, Tusk told May she must deal
with the border between the Republic of Ireland, which is part of the EU, and Northern Ireland, part of the UK.
The Irish government has escalated its rhetoric on the post-Brexit border with the UK in recent weeks, with full support from the EU. Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar is also under political pressure at home and risks an early election, potentially hardening his stance. Varadkar said that not everything would be sorted
at the summit in December, and signaled there would be another opportunity in February.
Even if the Irish issue can be resolved, Britain still needs the support of the other EU member states at the December summit before trade talks can begin — most importantly, France and Germany.
May met Germany’s Merkel over a lunch of pumpkin soup and sea bass during the summit and the pair agreed to hold a formal meeting later in the afternoon. Spea-king afterwards, May’s spokesman James Slack said the conversation on Brexit was “very constructive.†The UK will leave the EU, even
if there is no deal on the future trading terms, in March 2019.