It’s sinking in: most of the 130,000 schools in the US will likely not fully open as Covid-19 diagnoses continue to break records. Should parents admit defeat and have one parent quit the workforce to provide childcare and supervise remote learning? Before making this decision, consider the longer-term costs of taking a break from work.
Taking a career break means losing more than just salary. According to a calculator from the Center For American Progress, a 30-year old parent earning $50,000 a year taking just one year off loses over $156,000 in lifetime pay.
The parent is behind $30,000 in retirement benefits, $49,000 in wage growth; and $44,000 in lost wages. That parent loses retirement plan contributions, social security credits, insurance for disability, and, less quantifiably, status and momentum in the labor market. The losses mount up if it takes months or years to find a job and re-enter the workforce.
Consistently steady employment leads to the highest wages; women are more likely to have unsteady work histories mainly because of childcare. Even a woman who starts her own consultancy or home-based business feels this pinch: Periods of self-employment substantially hurt women’s, but not men’s, lifetime earnings.
A recent Fed study shows people with periods of non-employment suffer large and long-term earnings losses of up to 40% compared to people who worked continually.
The cost of caring for children — women spend about twice as much time on it as men — shows up in women’s lower average earnings. According to the US Department of Labor the median weekly earnings for fathers is $1,146; for it is mothers $809 per week.
The average man earns a lifetime income of $2.4 million, while the average women will earn $1.8 million. There are many reasons for this, but one is that women generally work fewer hours.
Today’s male retirees worked approximately 70,000 hours per lifetime; female retirees just 50,000 hours — the equivalent of about a ten-year difference.
So quitting — or even dialing back on hours — is obviously enormously expensive. When total costs are taken into account, it’s even more expensive than hiring babysitters or tutors. Before taking a leave of absence, parents should consider every option, including buying or trading home-schooling resources.
Brown University economist Emily Oster has good tips for home-based DYI classroom and parent
co-ops etc.
If you still think quitting is the best option for you, ask yourself a few questions first:
Will the cost of our necessities — housing, debt payments, clothing and food — make up more than 50% of my household’s net income after I quit? If yes, don’t quit. Will I have at least 11 times my salary at retirement? (If you make $50,000 a year, you will need over $500,000, adjusted for inflation, by the time you are 65.) If not, don’t quit.
—Bloomberg