Denmark shows unexpected strength to avoid recession

Bloomberg

Denmark’s economy grew faster than expected in the second quarter as a strong labour market helped the Nordic country avoid a recession.
Gross domestic product probably expanded 0.7% from the first three months of the year, according to an indicator published by Statistics Denmark. GDP contracted 0.5% in the first quarter of 2022.
The data paints a better picture of the Danish economy after concerns have been building that its relatively good run during pandemic may be over due to effects of higher energy costs and rising interest rates.
The second-quarter growth rate was “higher than expected and significantly better that the GDP contraction indicated by the Danish central bank’s model,” Las Olsen, chief economist at Danske Bank, said in a note. “We’re seeing significant improvement in industrial production and also better times in many service professions.”
Almost all sectors grew, helped by a strong labour market, as the employment indicator rise 0.7%, statistics agency said.
It highlighted hotels and restaurants where the end of Covid-19 lockdowns raised activity from the previous quarter. Denmark dropped all restrictions in February, declaring the disease no longer poses a threat to society.
Denmark probably faces a general election in the coming months as one of the Social Democrat government’s allies in parliament is pressuring Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen to call an early vote. Recent polls have suggested a majority for the center-right opposition.
Olsen at Danske said Danish companies are facing challenges that will lower output in coming quarters.
“Many businesses have massive problems with shortages in materials and labour,” the economist said. “The companies could probably have sold even more, but it’s hard for them to make their products.”