Two 100-year bonds for countries that start with the letter A. Other than that, there’s pretty much zilch in common between the century maturity debt issued by Austria and Argentina, as we’ve seen over the past few weeks. Nothing illustrates the desperate hunt for yield among high-quality global issues better than Austria’s 100-year bond. The debt was issued at just ...
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No, China isn’t easing. It just has a new benchmark
As the financial world’s movers and shakers hunker down at Jackson Hole this weekend, one pressing question will be who’s next to cut interest rates. The People’s Bank of China has already decided: It isn’t joining the global race to the bottom. Over the weekend, the PBOC took a long-awaited step in interest-rate reform, which aims to give markets more ...
Read More »Jokowi’s Indonesia budget sets a fiscal model for Asia
Don’t you wish you had a dollar for every beleaguered official who cried “fiscal policy must do more� Indonesia’s President Joko Widodo actually seems to mean it. Fresh from re-election, Jokowi, as he’s known, is aiming to cushion Southeast Asia’s largest economy from a slowdown and make much-needed investments in infrastructure like roads, ports and airports, and even a new ...
Read More »Masayoshi Son’s visionary sequel has a desperate look
It looks like SoftBank Group Corp.’s Masayoshi Son may be struggling to start his next epic journey. A month after announcing an eclectic mix of investors for its Vision Fund 2, SoftBank is leaning on its own employees for cash, planning to lend them as much as much as $20 billion to buy stakes in the venture-capital vehicle, the Wall ...
Read More »A burning question for coal’s brightest star
If India is such a bright hope for global coal demand, why can’t investors see it? The country will experience the largest increase in coal burning through 2023, according to the International Energy Agency, with a 3.9 percent annual pace of growth that should be enough to offset falling consumption in developed countries. BloombergNEF, whose forecasts tend to be less ...
Read More »Hong Kong protests: Beware of ‘moral hazard’
Watching videos of Chinese protestors singing the US national anthem in the streets of Hong Kong, or hearing the tear-jerking chorus of “Les Miserables†during a sit-in at the Hong Kong airport, only someone with a heart of stone wouldn’t want to assist these brave people who are fighting for their freedom. But beware. The problem is that easy gestures ...
Read More »Walmart finds consumer is still confident
A day after a stock market rout driven by recession fears, Walmart Inc. issued a second-quarter earnings report that should provide at least a sliver of solace: Consumers have been out in force spending at its big-box stores. The mega-retailer reported that US comparable sales rose 2.8 percent from a year earlier in the quarter. That growth looks especially robust ...
Read More »The Treasury bond rush won’t end well
Many nations in recent years are trying to wall themselves off from the rest of the world, but financial markets are immune: Money is moving freely, showing financial markets at least remain as intertwined as ever. In Asia, Australia, Europe and the Americas, yield curves are inverting simultaneously. Investors, fearing that the protectionist nations will be successful against globalisation, are ...
Read More »The pace of technological progress may be slowing
Shouldn’t we have space colonies by now? Instead there are signs that the pace of technological progress is slowing — even as researchers pump out papers at a prolific and increasing rate. With slowing progress in computing power, medicine and agriculture, my Bloomberg Opinion colleague Noah Smith warns that the stakes could not be higher. Surely some of the fault ...
Read More »Boris Johnson is not the most important Brexiter
In the highly entertaining Channel 4 drama about the 2016 referendum campaign “Brexit: The Uncivil War,†Benedict Cumberbatch, playing the mastermind of the Vote Leave campaign, is sometimes found crouched in the narrow pantry where he retreats to think. It’s not hard to picture the real Dominic Cummings doing just that. Cummings is no mere political curiosity. Though unelected and ...
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