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Exit polls say India’s ruling party retains crucial state

Bloomberg Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s party looks set to retain power in his home state of Gujarat, a result that’s key to sustaining momentum ahead of India’s national elections early 2019. The Bharatiya Janata Party will win 99-146 seats in the 182-seat legislature, according to five surveys published after voting closed. That’s higher than the 92 needed for a majority ...

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Zuma urges ANC to ‘consider opponents’ in new leadership

Bloomberg South African President Jacob Zuma said the ruling African National Congress is threatened by factionalism and urged senior members vying for top party posts to consider including opponents in the new leadership that will be elected at its national conference. “Factionalism has become the biggest threat to the organization,” Zuma told about 5,000 delegates in his opening speech to ...

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Janet Yellen’s legacy

One of Washington’s permanent parlor games is how much credit or blame a president deserves for the state of the economy. Inevitably, then, the question being asked now is whether Donald Trump or Barack Obama created today’s strong economy. The correct answer is: neither. To the extent that personal responsibility can be assigned, the worthy recipient is Janet Yellen. In ...

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Europe’s central bank faces decision time in 2018

Mario Draghi had better enjoy his winter break. Entering the home stretch of his eight-year term, the European Central Bank (ECB) president unveiled a big jump in the growth forecast and told reporters he’s increasingly confident in the outlook. His demeanor seemed almost relaxed, winding down for the year. It won’t last. The relatively upbeat outlook foreshadows a watershed moment ...

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Brazil is turning fiascoes into a much-needed win

Well, here are some things you don’t see every day. A few headlines in Brazil are aligning to show Latin America’s largest economy a path back towards confidence — and, just possibly, to restore some of the world’s confidence in democracy. The first unusual circumstance is that Brazil’s central bank governor will almost certainly have to write a letter to ...

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Tax bill won’t matter when it’s time to vote

“There’s nothing wrong with supply-side economics that division by ten wouldn’t cure.” The quip came from Charles Schultze, the chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers in Democrat Jimmy Carter’s White House. It meant that improving incentives to work and invest would promote economic growth — but not nearly as much as tax-cutting enthusiasts believed. The point applies to the ...

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Brexit redo is an idea whose time hasn’t come

The idea of rerunning the UK’s historic 52%-to-48% 2016 vote to leave the European Union (EU) is understandably tempting for those in the 48% camp. Consider what has happened since: nail-biting negotiations with the EU, polls that show growing Brexit remorse, and evidence that the UK economy is suffering from uncertainty the vote has brought. The main UK political parties ...

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From cold cash to cryptocurrencies

Central banks and cryptocurrencies seem to come from different planets. While monetary authorities are the guardians of price and financial stability, the likes of bitcoin and ethereum have ignited a speculative frenzy mirroring the tulip mania of the 17th century. Yet, from Singapore to Sweden, central bankers are taking a close interest in digital currencies. They are right to do ...

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Don’t be afraid of the net neutrality repeal

Now that the US Federal Communications Commission has killed net neutrality, what happens next — assuming appeals fail — depends on the economic incentives for internet service providers. These incentives make it unlikely that there will be significant changes to the user’s experience. In at least two ways, the internet in the US wasn’t completely neutral even while the 2015 ...

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Draghi says ECB will fall short of meeting inflation goal in 2020

Bloomberg Mario Draghi stopped short of declaring that the European Central Bank will meet its inflation goal in 2020, signalling that the euro-area economy isn’t yet strong enough to warrant weaning off monetary stimulus. The ECB president unveiled updated economic projections that showed continued gro- wth over the next three years but only slowly improving consumer-price gains. Inflation will average ...

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