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Italy fiscal economic forecasts won’t fool financial markets

The Italian government has finally presented its much-awaited economic and fiscal forecasts. They are an exercise in smoke and mirrors of which American-Hungarian illusionist Harry Houdini would be proud. The inflated growth figures and frankly incredible future budget adjustments are unlikely to sway investors and the European Commission. Italy is heading for a fight with the European Union (EU) and, more ...

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India’s central bank delays inevitable hike

When the world’s de facto central bank rustles up an interest-rate whirlwind, you don’t use a fig leaf of flexible exchange rates to stand in its path. That memo, already well-received in Indonesia, doesn’t seem to have reached India. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) chose to hold its policy interest rate at 6.5 percent last week. And by delaying ...

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Amazon’s $15 minimum wage should be just the start

Amazon.com Inc.’s decision to raise wages to $15 an hour for all of its US workers is good news. It will mean more money in the pockets of thousands of hard-working Americans struggling to make ends meet. Even more importantly, Amazon’s example may start a trend, encouraging other companies to raise wages as well, and prompting workers to demand more. ...

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All the nightmares for stock investors start in bond market

Bloomberg If there’s one thing the prophets agree on, it’s that the end will come in the bond market. Even for stocks. Prophesies of doom are everywhere. There’s billionaire investor Stan Druckenmiller, who says our “massive debt problem” will ignite a crisis. Oaktree Capital’s Howard Marks warns that public and private debt will be “ground zero when things next go ...

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Municipal bond slide leaves test: Will key buyers flee in droves?

Bloomberg Municipal bonds suffered their worst week since early February, but the real test of the market lies ahead: Will slow-to-react individual investors pull their money out in droves, as they have during previous downturns? Individuals, who own more than half of all state and local governments bonds directly or through mutual funds and don’t follow the minute-by-minute movement of ...

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Record-low rupee does not scare India as headwinds build

Bloomberg India’s central bank stared down the rupee’s slide to a record low, opting to keep interest rates unchanged as it flagged risks to the economy from global monetary policy tightening, trade wars and surging oil prices. In a surprise decision, the monetary policy committee led by Governor Urjit Patel voted 5-1 to leave the repurchase rate at 6.5 percent. ...

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US scrutiny of Danske case changes everything for lender’s investors

Bloomberg The Estonian laundromat scandal has been on Danske Bank A/S investors’ radar for more than a year. But last week, everything changed. News of a US Department of Justice investigation has caused panic. The bank’s shares were dumped and some bondholders are even wondering whether Danske might start having trouble making interest payments on its riskiest debt. At Swedish ...

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PBOC cuts reserve ratio for fourth time

Bloomberg China’s central bank cut the amount of cash lenders must hold as reserves for the fourth time this year, as policy makers seek to shore up the economy amid a worsening trade war. The People’s Bank of China lowered the required reserve ratio for some lenders by 1 percentage point, effective from October 15, according to a statement on ...

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Italy bond turmoil far from over for HSBC

Bloomberg Things are likely to get worse for Italian bonds before they get better. That’s the message from HSBC Holdings Plc after Italy’s government decided last week to set its 2019 budget deficit target at 2.4 percent, roiling markets. That has prompted Chris Attfield, a fixed-income strategist at the bank, to revise wider his year-end forecast for the yield spread ...

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Japan yields rise to levels when BOJ began negative-rate policy

Bloomberg A global bond selloff has sent Japan’s benchmark yield to a level last seen when the central bank introduced its negative interest-rate policy in January 2016 to revive a weakening economy. The 10-year yield rose two basis points to 0.155 percent, after a rout in Treasuries that saw similar-maturity US yields jump to the highest level since 2011. The ...

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