Trump calls off Mexico tariff plan as deal reached on migrants

Bloomberg

President Donald Trump said he would drop plans for tariffs on Mexico that he’d been threatening to impose for the past week after the country promised new steps to stem an influx of illegal migration into the US.
“I am pleased to inform you that The United States of America has reached a signed agreement with Mexico,” Trump said in a tweet. “The Tariffs scheduled to be implemented by the US, against Mexico, are hereby indefinitely suspended.”
Under the deal, Mexico will expand deployment of its national guard throughout the country, “giving priority to its southern border,” according to a joint statement from the two countries. Asylum seekers who cross into the US will be quickly returned to Mexico where they’ll wait for their claims to be resolved; the US agreed to accelerate adjudication.
Trump’s decision marked a dramatic turnaround after he persistently criticised Mexico for failing to prevent Central American migrants from traversing the country to get to the US. The decision marks a victory for Mexican Presid-ent Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, whose administration had been pressing Trump to drop the tariff threat.
The deal preempts Trump’s planned 5 percent tariff on all Mexican impo-rts to the US that the president said could increase to 25 percent by October.
The decision was welcomed by Republicans and others who warned the tariffs would damage the American economy, hurt job growth and delay or altogether scuttle a trade deal between the US, Canada and Mexico, known as the USMCA, which still needs lawmaker ratification. Mexico is the second-biggest source of US imports.
“Mexico came through,” said Senator Chuck Grassley, an Iowa Republican opposed to the tariffs, in a tweet soon after Trump’s announcement.
“I look forward to working with the administration and my colleagues in the House and Senate to pass USMCA without delay so that American companies and workers can reap the benefits of this updated and modernised agreement,” Representative Kevin Brady, a Texas Republican, said in a statement.
SARCASTIC RESPONSE
The Senate Democratic leader, Chuck Schumer of New York, tweeted a sarcastic reaction to the deal to Trump: “Now that the problem is solved I’m sure we won’t be hearing any more about it in the future.” Mexico said the deal was reached after several days of talks, including 12 hours of discussions.
The US originally demanded that Central American migrants apply for as- ylum in Mexico instead of the US. Mexico beat back th-at demand, but formally ag-reed to host asylum seekers until the US processes their claims. Mexico’s foreign minister, Marcelo Ebrard, said the resolution was fair. “We reached some middle point,” Ebrard said.
The joint statement said both sides would work together to “implement a durable solution.” Discussions will continue, they said.
The two countries said they’ll work to “to build a more prosperous and secure Central America to address the underlying causes of migration, so that citizens of the region can build better lives for themselves and their families at home.” The statement didn’t elaborate on how that would be accomplished.

‘HEAVY PRICE’
Duncan Wood, director of the Mexico Institute at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington, said Mexico avoided tariffs but “will pay a heavy price.”
“Potentially tens of thousands of refugee claimants will have to wait in Mexico while their claims are processed,” he said. “Mexico will have to house, employ, educate and provide health care for them. This is a huge commitment.”
The tariff threat has rattled markets and prompted economists to forecast an increased risk of recession in the US, the world’s largest economy, because trade between the US and Mexico is so integrated. An all-out trade war would lower global gross domestic product by 0.8 percent or $800 billion by mid-2021, according to Bloomberg Economics.
The uncertainty and the subsequent negotiations in recent days caused significant movements in the peso, Latin America’s most-traded currency. But by the time the deal was reached, trading had ended. It will resume on Sunday afternoon.
The number of apprehensions and people denied entry along the US-Mexico border has been rising steadily. More than 144,000 people were apprehended after illegally crossing the southern border in May or were refused entry to the US, Customs and Border Protection announced. That’s the the most in a single month in at least five years; the number has grown every month since January.
Trump threatened the tariffs on May 30 — the same day the administration sent a notice to Congress to try and kick-start passage of the USMCA, which Trump negotiated to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement. Vice President Mike Pence also spent that day stumping for the deal’s
passage in Canada.

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