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When they’re asked to make bets, social scientists have a surprising knack for predicting which of their colleagues’ papers are full of baloney. This is in contrast to the notoriously bad job social scientists have apparently been doing evaluating papers through traditional peer review. In a series of attempts to test the health of the field, a high proportion of ...

Bloomberg Indonesia’s central bank is intensifying its fight to protect the nation’s currency and bonds with a slew of measures that includes more hedging tools. Bank Indonesia plans to soon introduce overnight index swaps and interest-rate swaps to widen its pool of hedging tools for investors, exporters and banks. The central bank will also start offering a one-month tenor foreign-exchange ...

Bloomberg Australia kept interest rates at a record low on Tuesday, as it has for the past two years, while a currency sliding towards 70 US cents offers the prospect of additional stimulus for the economy. As expected, Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe left the cash rate at 1.5 percent, a stance he expects will eventually tighten the labour market ...

Bloomberg ING Groep NV agreed to pay 775 million euros ($900 million) to settle an investigation by the Dutch prosecutor into issues including money laundering and corrupt practices in one of the biggest fines ever given to the country’s banks in a criminal case. The lender acknowledged “serious shortcomings” in executing customer due diligence policies to prevent financial crime at ...

Bloomberg Lloyds Banking Group Plc is planning to reorganise its commercial bank and eliminate some senior management positions to cut costs at one of its biggest divisions, people with knowledge of the company’s plans said. David Oldfield, a veteran at the bank and head of the commercial unit since last year, is leading the push to simplify the structure and ...

Bloomberg The chief executive officer of Banco de Sabadell SA’s British unit is leaving as the lender continues to struggle with the meltdown of its IT system earlier this year. Paul Pester will step down after seven years with the UK arm, known as TSB Banking Group. Richard Meddings, the current non-executive chairman of TSB, temporarily takes on an executive ...

Bloomberg India may be the world’s fastest growing major aviation market, but it is difficult for airlines to make money as excessive taxes and poor infrastructure choke the industry, according to the International Air Transport Association. While jet fuel accounts for about 24 percent of a carrier’s average costs globally, it is 34 percent in India, making domestic airlines even ...

Bloomberg Britons are planning to rein in their spending after splurging during the summer heatwave. With worries growing over rising prices and higher interest rates, a third of consumers say they intend to spend less, Barclaycard said in a report published on Tuesday. The warning comes after households made the most of the sweltering summer months, with the value of ...

Bloomberg A Polish government agency said it’s working with Amazon.com Inc. to improve conditions at its facilities amid union concerns of worker exploitation. The State Labor Inspectorate held more than 50 reviews of Amazon’s warehouses and other Poland-based centers since 2014, finding irregularities related to health and safety regulations, sanitary conditions and timely remuneration, the agency said. The retail giant, ...

Bloomberg Ryanair Holding Plc scrapped flights for 100,000 passengers last month as operations at the discount carrier were hit by strikes in five nations together with air traffic control disruption across a swathe of Europe. Ryanair cancelled almost 550 flights in August, compared with 27 a year earlier, the Dublin-based company said. Cockpit crews walked out on August 10 in ...