January, 2019

• 5 January

  Markets signal rising odds of a ’19 recession

  For investors attempting to adjust their portfolios in anticipation of a recession by the end of 2020, recent economic indicators carry a message: they may have to prepare for the downturn to start as early as 2019 despite stocks enjoying a recent “dead-cat bounce.” Bloomberg News reports that a Federal Reserve Bank of New York gauge puts the chances of ...

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• 5 January

  The US needs to continue to lead the global growth

  

  The world enters 2019 with a lot more uncertainty about the prospects for global growth. The excitement a year ago about a synchronised pickup in global growth is replaced by angst that was initially focused on China and Europe but is increasingly spreading to the US, the sole consistent bright spot and one of the most powerful job creators and ...

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• 5 January

  Selling drugs not a free lunch in China

  

  There may be such a thing as a free lunch in China’s pharmaceutical industry. It turns out it’s not an unlimited buffet, though. For years, the country’s largest drugmakers have happily sold low-cost generic medicines yielding gross margins of 80 percent to 90 percent without giving much thought to consumer protection or innovation. It’s not uncommon for pharma companies to ...

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• 5 January

  Five doom loops investors must navigate in 2019

  

  As the great unwind of global monetary stimulus gains momentum, markets are at increased risk of experiencing doom loops. Investors need to be prepared for these downward spirals, where shocks set off a self-perpetuating sequence of disruptions. There are five doom loops that feed each other in a financial crisis. collateral doom loop Declines in the value of stocks, bonds, ...

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• 5 January

  Amazon, Google and smart-home offerings

  

  Bloomberg As he browsed digital store shelves last month in search of an aromatherapy diffuser, entrepreneur David Berger had a single requirement for his wife’s Christmas gift: It had to work with Amazon.com Inc.’s Alexa software. “She’s really into making the house smell beautiful, and I’m really into Alexa,” says Berger who lives in Weston, Connecticut. “So this is a ...

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• 5 January

  Slump in iPhone demand hits lens maker Largan’s Dec sales

  

  Bloomberg Largan Precision Co., which supplies camera lenses to Apple Inc, said revenue in December fell by a third amid weakening appetite for iPhones in China. Sales dropped 33.9 percent from a year to NT$3.23 billion ($104.9 million), and were in line with Largan’s estimates, a company spokeswoman said on Saturday. The company, which also makes lenses for Huawei Technologies ...

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• 5 January

  Microsoft, Google use artificial intelligence to fight hackers

  

  Bloomberg Last year, Microsoft Corp’s Azure security team detected suspicious activity in the cloud computing usage of a large retailer: One of the company’s administrators, who usually logs on from New York, was trying to gain entry from Romania. And no, the admin wasn’t on vacation. A hacker had broken in. Microsoft quickly alerted its customer, and the attack was ...

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• 5 January

  Powell hints Fed open to pause if economy weakens

  

  Bloomberg Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signalled the central bank could pause interest-rate increases if the US economy weakened and pledged he will stay at his post even if President Donald Trump presses him to resign. Invoking events of 2016, when the Fed held rates unchanged through most of the year amid financial market turmoil spurred by concerns over slower ...

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• 5 January

  Polish central bank chief questioned in watchdog scandal

  

  Bloomberg Polish central bank Governor Adam Glapinski is undergoing “routine” questioning by prosecutors in relation to a bribery scandal that led to the arrest of the country’s banking watchdog chairman. The latest in a string of central bankers from emerging Europe becoming involved in legal probes, Glapinski has rebuffed calls to step down from opposition parties that are demanding a ...

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• 5 January

  ECB takes reins of Italian bank Carige

  

  Bloomberg The European Central Bank (ECB) took the unprecedented step of placing the cash-strapped Italian lender Banca Carige SpA in temporary administration, a move that could be a prelude to a sale or merger. The administrators and a three-member surveillance committee will focus on reducing balance sheet risk and finding a possible partner for the bank, Carige said in a ...

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