Recent Posts

Is it too late for Truss to repair the damage?

First impressions count, especially when it comes to economic policy. UK Prime Minister Liz Truss and Finance Minister Kwasi Kwarteng last week announced a fresh start for the country with a big shift in fiscal policy — and hit the ground face first. Their plan has crashed the pound, wrecked the government bond market, and destroyed the Bank of England’s ...

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Welcome to the scary inflationary world

  The world looked on in horror last week as the UK’s market collapse prompted the Bank of England to reverse its plans for quantitative tightening with a spectacular intervention in the gilt market — “on whatever scale is necessary” — to save the nation’s pensions system. So far, this appears to be a uniquely British debacle. But what if ...

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Bond markets nearing a painful inflection point

  This week’s bond meltdown has sent the mean 10-year borrowing cost for Group of Seven countries to its highest in more than a decade, with the average yield surging above 3%. What happens next could set the tone for financial markets and the global economy for years to come. And your guess is as bad as mine as to ...

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