Recent Posts

UK’s Johnson warns PM May against calling snap election

Bloomberg Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has urged Theresa May not to contemplate calling another early election, after reports that members of parliament are preparing for a snap vote later this year because of the turmoil of Brexit. “We had a general election in June last year, which followed hard on the heels of a referendum, which itself followed hard on ...

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Even $200bn cut annually won’t slash trade deficit

Questions remain about just how many more US exports China’s promised to buy to avert a trade war: US officials have floated the figure of $200 billion annually, which would cut the bilateral trade deficit in half. Even if that were true, however – and Chinese officials have denied it – that massive buying spree wouldn’t bring down the overall ...

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The beginning of end of forward guidance

Consistency in central banking is usually a virtue. But Brazil is proving that it’s not the highest virtue. One of the big features of monetary policy in the post-2008 era has been an increase in transparency among central banks, which were too secretive in the bad old days. Key to this transparency has been forward guidance, a clear telegraphing of ...

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