Recent Posts

UK’s Boris Johnson gets his chance to fail too

This time it’s for real. Theresa May didn’t exactly say when she would leave 10 Downing Street, but she promised to name her exit date in early June. The question is what difference changing leader will make for the Conservative party. After a potentially messy leadership contest (one is already underway), the party will likely rally behind a new chief ...

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There’s still hope on China trade, but Trump confuses it

Even the most committed free-traders have to admit that tariffs and the threat of tariffs can prod other countries to make needed reforms. That outcome is still possible in the American trade war with China, and it’s the one to root for. But our thinking about this conflict suffers from misconceptions that bias us towards President Donald Trump’s tariff-centered strategy. ...

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US in twilight years of post-WWII baby boom

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has just released its latest statistics on US births. Boring, you say. Not so. Historic birth patterns tell us a lot about where the country has been — and where it might be going. We are now experiencing some of the lowest birth figures ever. In 2018, US births totaled 3.788 million, ...

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