Bloomberg Risky assets are reacting more strongly to hawkish monetary shocks from the Federal Reserve in recent years, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. The reason, ironically, is that the Fed is losing its forecasting edge. The Fed’s relative predictive advantage versus private economists has declined in recent years as the higher quality and quantity of forecasters makes it harder ...

Bloomberg About half of economists now expect the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) next policy move to be monetary easing, including three who see it coming this week, according to a Bloomberg survey. The other 45 of 48 economists surveyed said they expected the BOJ to leave its policy settings unchanged at a two-day meeting ending April 25. The number of ...

Bloomberg An inverted Treasury yield curve is no longer a reliable signal of recession, and what matters more is the level of the curve, Bank of America (BofA) economists Ethan Harris and Aditya Bhave said in a note. The Federal Reserve is flirting with inversion probably because policy makers recognise its waning predictive power in a low-yield global environment, the ...