Recent Posts

IMF outlook adds to the allure of oil and metals

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) recently raised its forecasts for global economic growth in 2018 and 2019 to 3.9 percent, which would be the fastest pace since 2011. That is good for global equities, of course, but it is particularly bullish for crude oil prices and industrial metals prices. It also means that a wave of monetary tightening is coming ...

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Bitcoin is a means of payment

Critics of Bitcoin often argue that it’s useless as a means of payment, one of the key elements of any successful currency. That’s not quite right, and likely to become less so. First, a reminder on how Bitcoin works. If I want to send someone some Bitcoin, I simply broadcast my intention to the network. I then wait for the ...

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It’s bonus time, so Asia’s put its MiFID fears on hold

It’s bad form to bring up unpleasant things during bonus season. That’s one of the two reasons the Asian sell-side isn’t talking much about MiFID II. The other is copious liquidity. Make no mistake. Once the great bull market ends and equity trading volumes recede, the margin compression triggered by the European Union’s revised Markets in Financial Instruments Directive will ...

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