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EU says UK won’t get full post-Brexit deal in 2020

Bloomberg Boris Johnson will have to choose which areas he wants to focus on if he’s to get an agreement on the UK’s future relationship with the European Union before his year-end deadline, the European Commission president said. In her first major intervention on Brexit since she took up her post on December 1, Ursula von der Leyen said the ...

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Why 2020 is harder to predict than 2019 was

My main prediction for 2020, if it can be called a prediction, is trend exhaustion: For the first time in a long while, several important trends have come to an end. What do I mean by that? Trends ebb and flow, of course, but at any given moment many of them embody one of two distinct states: momentum, or reversion ...

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Fed should keep looking forward

The past decade experienced a revolution in how the Federal Reserve conducts monetary policy. While new tools such as quantitative easing have received the most attention, just as significant have been the changes made in how the Federal Open Market Committee sets and controls the level of short-term interest rates. Before the financial crisis, the Fed controlled short-term rates by ...

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