The issue of hindsight bias and fooling ourselves about what we think knew a priori haunts investors constantly. We are reminded of this by those who claim they saw the financial meltdown coming. Despite the lack of proof, they remain convinced they knew what was about to happen all along. These folks are fooling themselves. Due to several cognitive ...

  Matthew Winkler There’s been nothing but trouble for much of Africa as the price of oil plummeted 55 percent during the past two and a half years. But there’s a brighter side to the sub-Saharan continent. Unlike Nigeria, where oil accounts for more than 90 percent of exports, or South Africa, which never recovered from the 2008 financial crisis ...

  Reuters Egypt’s stock market gained for a 12th straight session on Sunday after the International Monetary Fund approved a $12 billion loan for the country, while Saudi Arabia rose, bucking a downtrend in the rest of the Gulf. The IMF loan approval had been widely expected, but it added fresh fuel to a rally caused by Egypt’s decision to ...