It is said that America’s armed forces have been stressed by 16 years of constant warfare, the longest such in the nation’s history. For the Air Force, however, the high tempo of combat operations began 26 years ago, with enforcement of the no-fly zone in Iraq after Desert Storm. With an acute pilot shortage, particularly in the fighter pilot community, …
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Horn of plenty leaves investors on horns of a dilemma
The Asian dollar bond market has been a cornucopia for issuers this year. Amid plentiful liquidity, it’s easy to lose sight of just how little reward there is now for all the risks investors are being asked to accept. Less than seven months into 2017, asset managers and private-bank clients have written checks for $175 billion to companies and governments …
Read More »Put Trumpcare out of its misery
Congressional Republicans have just produced their latest version of Trumpcare. On the plus side, this one gives up on earlier proposals to repeal three taxes that the Affordable Care Act imposes on the wealthy, making it a bit less fiscally reckless. On the minus side, it’s still a terrible plan. It’s designed to drastically weaken America’s health security — and …
Read More »India’s new tax is a work in progress
A country rarely praised for its efficient bureaucracy, India has managed its biggest administrative reform in years pretty well. Its new goods-and-services tax, replacing 40 other taxes and levies, came into force earlier this month without undue disruption. This policy deserves to be a great success — but to make the most of it, the government still has work to …
Read More »Why China’s acquisition spree is ending badly
China’s overseas acquisition streak seems to be coming to an unhappy end. Outward direct investment fell by 46 percent in the first half of the year, due partly to tightened capital controls and partly to new restrictions on ‘irrational investments.’ But the authorities should be asking a more fundamental question: Why do China’s companies struggle so much overseas? Typically, companies …
Read More »Amazon panic button gets a workout
W.W. Grainger Inc.’s results weren’t stellar, but what exactly were investors expecting? The industrial-parts distributor has lost about a quarter of its market value over the past year amid worries that its efforts to combat Amazon.com Inc. with lower prices won’t work and will make it less profitable. We got further proof of that Wednesday when Grainger reported a further …
Read More »Apple predictions will be very wrong again
It’s the silly season for financial predictions about Apple Inc. With history as our guide, it is folly to place much faith in them. Nearly every day brings deeply researched reports from stock analysts on their Apple sales forecasts. And this is not about the next quarter or two. The most pressing question analysts are trying to answer is how …
Read More »Is quiet persuasion more effective than shouting?
The Chinese government, subtle masters of propaganda, seem to have discovered a Sun Tzu formula for taming dissent on the internet: The best strategy may not be to confront critics directly, but to lull or distract them with a tide of good news. This intriguing argument is suggested by a recent article in the American Political Science Review titled ‘How …
Read More »Saving capitalism from capitalists? Try harder, RBI
Although Raghuram Rajan co-wrote the influential 2003 book, Saving Capitalism From the Capitalists, it has fallen upon his successor at the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to actually attempt such a thing. By the looks of it, Urjit Patel has a hard slog ahead. For now, the governor of India’s central bank can breathe a sigh of relief. His most …
Read More »ECB should be firmer with troubled banks
The failure of three banks in less than a month has led the European Central Bank to wonder whether it needs fresh powers to deal with struggling lenders. Some new tools might prove useful, but they aren’t the main thing. What the ECB needs most is the will to resist political pressure and act promptly when necessary. The recent crisis …
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