Opinion

Weaker dollar won’t derail global growth

The depreciation of the dollar was one of the market surprises of 2017, defying the predictions of many analysts and economists at the start of that year. Continued weakness in 2018 has led some, including European officials, to warn about possible detrimental effects on growth. They are highlighting what may be thought of as the foreign exchange markets’ “hot potato” ...

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Dear Bitcoin fans, digital currency is still a dream

Bitcoin breaks my heart. Not because I missed the great run-up (though I did) and not because I fear that the bitcoin bubble will end badly (it will, but that’s not my problem). Rather, it is because I have been waiting for decades for someone to invent a purely digital currency, a currency for online purchases that wasn’t linked to ...

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Japan, Europe start the central bank reset

This is going to be an exciting year for monetary policy. In fact, it already is, thanks to Europe and Japan. Investors were taken aback last week when the Bank of Japan bought fewer bonds and the European Central Bank revealed — shock, horror — its language would have to evolve with the euro region’s economy. Both developments, and the ...

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Apple needs to admit it still has a labour problem

For all the talk of cleaning up its supply chain, too many stories keep popping up about poor working conditions and excessive overtime. Every year at around this time, Apple makes a song and dance about how much it cares for workers and the environment. Fans point out that Cupertino is doing far more than most others in the industry, ...

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America’s new tax rules are a gift to Europe

The effects of the Trump administration corporate tax reform on US multinationals that were, as of the end of last year, holding some $1.4 trillion in cash overseas, are largely beneficial: Now these companies finally know how much of that money the US wants — and there’s also some long-awaited clarity on how foreign profits will be taxed going forward. ...

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Emanuel Macron can lead a horse to China, but not an Airbus A380

French president Emmanuel Macron gave a horse to his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, but handing over the Airbus A380 has proved more difficult. The visit started with talk about Airbus offering China a production role on its superjumbo aircraft to secure a program-extending order for the slow-selling jet. While discussions were held on sales of the A380, according to Macron, ...

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Britain’s GKN shouldn’t surrender for $9.5bn

GKN Plc’s defenses could scarcely be weaker in the face of Last week’s unsolicited takeover approach from plucky deal machine Melrose Industries Plc. But the British engineer was right to reject this audacious proposal. Its shareholders, however desperate for a boost, should be wary of surrender. Last year was terrible for GKN. Accounting errors and mismanagement in its US operations ...

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China bond selloff won’t signal global bear market

The unrelenting selloff in China’s $9 trillion onshore bond market last year caused deep angst among investors. That performance is far from enticing as the country aims to further open up this market, the world’s third largest, through initiatives such as the Bond Connect programme. For now, foreign investors account for less than 2 percent of the onshore market, though ...

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Cryptocurrencies steal volatility away from stocks

What drives volatility? In equities these days, it turns out, not much. With just 6.8 percent realized volatility in the S&P 500 Index, 2017 marked the least volatile year since 1964. Low correlation among stocks, muted inflation variability and market-friendly central bank policies all played a role. But that hasn’t stopped investors from asking, ‘Who ate the vol?’ We point ...

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Citi’s positives outweigh one big, bad headline

Citigroup Inc. investors are rightly looking past the ugly headline. The bank on Tuesday reported a large fourth-quarter loss, reflecting a bigger-than-expected $22 billion writeoff related to changes in US corporate tax laws and a move to a territorial tax regime. Importantly, the one-time charge shouldn’t compromise Chief Executive Officer Mike Corbat’s ability to deliver on targets due by 2020, ...

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